WP4: Ecosystem response to direct anthropogenic drivers

This workpackage will address, through a coupled physical-biogeochemical-higher trophic level modelling approach, the potential response of the marine ecosystem to direct anthropogenic stress in future climate change scenarios. It therefore aims to integrate and contribute to the analysis of the marine ecosystem evolution in a changing environment by using the modelling tools delivered by WP2 and used in parallel in WP3, and by focusing on drivers expressing directly the anthropogenic pressure on the marine ecosystem.

Objectives
To define the envelope of response to combinations of direct anthropogenic drivers on marine ecosystem function both on a regional scale. We shall analyze the impact on ecosystems end to end of changes in pollution, fishing effort, fluvial nutrient and CDOM inputs, focusing on physics, biogeochemistry and ecosystem productivity and higher trophic levels. The sub objectives are:

To calibrate and validate hindcast simulations
To run/analyze base-line and ensemble scenarios
To synthesize results
To contribute to knowledge transfer activities in WP6
To publish advances in technical and scientific knowledge

Workpackage Leader: Marco Zavatarelli (UNIBO)

Documents relevant to this WP

Report